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"Ordinary" theme: In the 2018 top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, what do you account for?

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1421044395465View TA's forum collection  View TA's recommendation recordPublished date: 2018-12-28 14:29:34

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Selling a business has become the most ruined thing...

It is about to pass in 2018, and it is time to sum up the results.Buying a house has become the most popular thing in the past year.

On December 15, the National Bureau of Statistics released statistics on the changes in the sales price of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities in November 2018. The data shows that second-hand housing prices in as many as 20 cities have risen by more than 10% year-on-year. To a large extent, this is a rough estimate of the year-on-year increase in November second-hand house prices. According to the 30% down payment, real estate investors in these cities have achieved a book yield of more than 30% this year.

In the 20th year of the top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, how many do you account for?

Buying a home accounted for the top 10 in the 2018 list of homes, and at the same time almost all of the assets suffered a huge blow this year. Of course, the worst thing to do compared to investment is entrepreneurship. In the context of economic downturn, the failure rate of entrepreneurship may reach a new height.

In the 20th year of the top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, how many do you account for?

Loser TOP 1: Selling a house to start a business, floating 100%

This year's entrepreneurs may have suffered the worst environment in years. First, the macro economy is facing downward pressure. In November, the China Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell back to 50, and it was able to hold the line. In addition, the new rules for social security collection are not very friendly to entrepreneurs, which has greatly increased the cost of starting a business. Third, angel investment seems to have also encountered a cold winter. Internet finance and sharing economy have cooled down, and there is a big nickname for venture capital. 2018 is the beginning of the collapse of China's VC/PE bubble.

In the 20th year of the top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, how many do you account for?

In view of the above, the failure rate of this year's entrepreneurship may hit a new high in recent years. In addition, due to the relative stability of housing prices, and the property as the most important asset of the family,Selling a house is almost a business with all the net worth, which is undisputedly the first in the list of the most defeated in 2018..

Potential floating losses: Since the failure of entrepreneurship is almost nothing, and may even generate large liabilities, the business of selling houses may bring devastating blows to personal assets, and the potential floating losses are expected to reach 100%.

Loser TOP 2: Selling house speculative coins, floating loss 95%

Bitcoin, which soared more than ten times last year, showed its butcher knife this year. The data shows that Bitcoin climbed to $19,666 per dollar at the end of last year, compared with a minimum of $3,122 per month in the most recent month. Based on this calculation, Bitcoin plunged more than 80% in less than one year and fell more than 70% during the year.

In the 20th year of the top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, how many do you account for?

The currency circle is a breeze this year, and the performance of Bitcoin is even resilience. Litecoin fell from the highest of 375 US dollars at the end of last year to the recent lowest point of less than 23 US dollars, the largest decline of 94%; Ripple from the highest of 3.84 US dollars at the end of last year, once fell to 0.2471 US dollars, the largest decline of nearly 94%; Ethereum from this year The initial price of 1,432.88 US dollars fell to the recent low of 77.65 US dollars, the biggest drop was close to 95%.

Potential floating losses: Considering that several major digital currencies have fallen by 90%, selling house speculation may also have a devastating impact on personal assets, and potential floating losses are expected to reach 95%.

Loser TOP 3: Selling a house to buy P2P, floating 90%

How bad is P2P this year? Someone once renamed P2P as "cheat 2 scams" and "run 2 runs", which vividly described the horrors of the P2P industry this year. First, investors have classified the industry into the liar industry, which shows the pain of injury; the second is that there are too many running platforms.

According to media reports, in June this year, the four major high-profit rebate P2P platforms, all of which were linked to financial, Tang Xiaoxuan, Qianbao, and Yatang Finance. Or declare a liquidation, or "running the road" and so on. Some head P2P platforms are so behaved, and small and medium platforms can be imagined. The performance of online loan stocks also reflects this phenomenon. As of December 20, the average number of 10 online loan concept stocks fell by nearly 65% ​​during the year, and the smallest decline was also close to 42%.

Potential floating losses: Although some media reports, some platforms can return some of the losses of investors, but overall, the blood has not been the majority. Therefore, selling a house to buy P2P may also bring a devastating blow to personal assets, and the potential floating loss may reach 90%.

In the 20th year of the top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, how many do you account for?

Loser TOP 4: Selling stocks, stocks lose 80%

The performance of the A-share market this year is also very bad. The data shows that the cumulative decline of the Shanghai Composite Index has reached 23.92% since the beginning of this year, and the cumulative decline in the GEM index has reached 27.52%. From the perspective of individual stocks, after eliminating the second-time stocks, only more than 200 stocks rose during the year, accounting for less than 7%.

In the 20th year of the top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, how many do you account for?

In terms of distribution, the number of stocks with a decline of 20% to 50% was the highest, reaching 2221, accounting for nearly 65% ​​of all stocks. The number of stocks falling within 20% fell to the second highest, reaching 574, accounting for nearly 17%. The number of stocks that fell more than 50% was the third, at 440, accounting for nearly 13%. The median price of individual stocks was nearly -33%, with an average increase or decrease of -30.73%.

Potential floating losses: The performance of A-shares this year is expected to rank second in history. If an investor unfortunately sells stocks at the beginning of the year, the loss is likely to exceed 30%, and the potential loss of the property may reach 80%.

Other loser investment

The next ten top losers ranked fifth to eighth, according to the above logic,In turn, they are entrepreneurship, speculation, buying P2P, and speculating A shares. The ninth to the tenth are respectively speculative futures and stock funds.

In the 20th year of the top ten defeated family, the top ten home list, how many do you account for?

The potential loss of investors in this year's speculative futures may reach 30%. The results of the real-time trading contest reported in the Futures Daily this year show that 80,000 accounts are profitable in the 35,000-to-final accounts, and the number of profitable accounts accounts for 22.4%. The overall loss of the participating accounts was 2.066 billion yuan, and the loss ratio was nearly 14% according to the peak value of the participating funds of 15 billion yuan. Considering the time factor and the loss of ordinary investors may be higher, the potential loss ratio of futures investors this year may reach 30%.

Even if it is handed over to a professional fund manager to manage assets, investors may face large losses. The data shows that since this year, stock funds have earned less than 20%, and the median growth rate of fund net worth is about -18%. This means that most fund investors have lost nearly 20% this year.

Compared to other assets, this year's property still recorded a good performance. According to the statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics of the sales price of commercial housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities in November 2018, only the second-hand housing prices in Beijing, Shanghai and Xiamen declined year-on-year, and the second-hand housing prices in up to 20 cities rose more than 10% year-on-year. %. This to a greater extent means thatBased on the year-on-year data of second-hand housing prices in November, this year’s increase is roughly estimated. According to the down payment of 30%, real estate investors in these cities have achieved a book yield of more than 30% this year..

Finally, summarize it with a paragraph:

A businessman sold his house in Shenzhen with 800,000 yuan ten years ago and started his business with a house. After 10 years of hard work, he finally earned a million net worth for himself and sold him with his earned 5 million. The house that fell off bought it back...

 
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