Home >Perspective channel > text
Yi Xianrong: Fine-tuning of real estate policy in 2019 is starting
Financial sector websiteYi Xianrong
Author: Qingdao University School of Economics professor, former Academy of Social Sciences Institute of Finance, financial development director Yixianrong
At present, the two sessions of various provinces and cities are held in full swing. However, this year, the two provinces and cities in the country will have a very different phenomenon from previous years, that is, the reports of the two provinces and cities will explain how the real estate market policy will develop this year. The content of its statement is basically the same. That is to say, the market positioning of “the house is used for living, not for speculation”, to ensure the sustainable and stable development of the real estate market with stable prices, stable prices and stable expectations, that is, the “three stables” are the mainstay.
For example, the real estate policies of Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou this year are also based on stability, and require “households and no speculation”. Beijing will improve the housing market system and housing security system this year, maintain a stable and healthy development of the real estate market, and adhere to the market positioning of “the house is used for living, not for speculation”; Shanghai will improve the normal long-term mechanism for real estate market regulation and control. Continue to stabilize the price, stabilize the price, and stabilize the expectations.
Guangzhou also adheres to the market positioning of “households and no speculation” and has established a sound housing market system and housing security system. The Shenzhen Municipal Government has clearly pointed out that it is necessary to strictly control housing prices and rents in the rental market to rise too fast, and to build a long-term and healthy real estate market development mechanism with more economic means.
Judging from the prescriptions of the 2019 real estate market regulation policies issued by these first-tier cities, the premise of each city's real estate policy is two hats (that is, insisting on “only live without speculation” and “three stables”). This is the central regulation. The cities can only say in the original words, so if there is any problem in the real estate market this year, they do not need to bear any responsibility, because their policies are under the big hat of the central government. Otherwise, the localities The real estate policy is not based on the original words. Once the market changes, the real estate market has any problems, and the local government has no choice but to take it.
However, it also revealed a strong message that the fine-tuning of domestic real estate policy in 2019 is already starting. This year's real estate policy is based on the principle of “only live without speculation” and “three stables”. The core of local government real estate policy is that local governments can “make policy for the city” or one city and one policy according to the situation of their own cities. . Since local governments have the power to determine local real estate regulation and control policies, local governments must find any justification for any real estate policy. And these real estate policies must be dominated by real estate driving economic growth. To achieve this goal, we must do everything possible to use house prices as an engine, as otherwise, housing investors will not enter the market. Only the housing prices are rising, especially the rapid rise, investors will definitely enter the market. As for not allowing house prices to rise too fast, local governments must be controlled by statistical means rather than actual market transactions. Therefore, as far as the current situation is concerned, the local government will test the attitude of the central government in various ways to test the market and the intention of housing investors, and slowly open the gap in the fine-tuning of the real estate market policy. Therefore, the local government's real estate policy issued by the two local governments is the beginning of this year's fine-tuning of real estate policies.
Coupled with the focus of the stable economy of local governments in 2019, it has turned to the development of regional economy. For example, the establishment of the Bay Area, the construction of the free trade zone, and the construction of the same city are basically involved in the Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, the Yangtze River Delta, and the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The primary task of these regional economic cooperation and development is the construction of urban infrastructure. The launch of urban infrastructure, with these concepts, is definitely the driving force behind the growth of these cities and regional real estate markets. Not only will it lead to rapid expansion of cities in these regions, but it will also raise prices in these areas. Since the second half of 2018, the efforts of local governments to control the sale of high-priced real estates have become smaller. Many high-priced real estates have entered the market intensively, which is a clear signal to the market.
This article is published by the platform/author authorized by the financial community website. Please do not reprint it without authorization. If you have a dry opinion or article, you are willing to provide the most authoritative and professional reference for investors. Whether you are an authoritative expert, a financial commentator or a think tank, we welcome you to actively contribute and submit to the financial industry website.
Email address: firstname.lastname@example.org, telephone number: 010-83363000-3477. We look forward to your joining!
Editor in charge: Jiang Pingbo
Must not look
- Looking for cattle stocks, come to the financial community
- Trend Cruise: The three majors are good for the Spring Festival holiday!
- Unbeaten Queen: Early February 1, 2019 News
- Falcon watch: re-transfer policy is good, red plate can be used for the New Year 2640
- The largest 100 goodwill mines are here! (list)
The commercial housing in Hainan Wanmu Resort has been illegally built. Thousands of buyers have been cut off from water and electricity.02-03 10:30
Shanghai suddenly announced a reduction in property taxes! what's the problem?02-03 08:21
The Spring Festival empty city rankings: Guangshen Fowan is all shortlisted02-03 08:09
Heavy! The central bank's three plans to land these four major changes you have to know02-02 14:06
The Ministry of Finance clarifies that the old-age care institutions are exempt from VAT and other policies.02-03 16:50
Another high official is falling! Six middle-ranking cadres involved in insider trading in one year02-02 06:40
The White Horse Club’s 60 rich women’s members’ online newsletter is mostly online.02-03 08:34
A comprehensive interpretation of the central bank's "three-set" plan: clear three major priorities02-03 08:04
The Ministry of Finance zoomed in! About hundreds of millions of people pension The new tax reduction policy just arrived!02-03 21:44
Ambient Air Quality Forecaster: Guardian of Blue Sky and White Clouds02-02 15:50